RecDev

Recruitment deviations
Recruitment deviations
file: recdevs1_points.png

Recruitment deviations with 95% intervals
Recruitment deviations with 95% intervals
file: recdevs2_withbars.png

Recruitment deviations variance check.
Recruitment deviations variance check.
See later figure of transformed variance values for comparison with bias adjustment settings in the model.
file: recdevs3_varcheck.png

Points are transformed variances. Red line shows current settings for bias adjustment specified in control file. Blue line shows least squares estimate of alternative bias adjustment relationship for recruitment deviations (which may or may not be an improvement. For more information, see
Points are transformed variances. Red line shows current settings for bias adjustment specified in control file. Blue line shows least squares estimate of alternative bias adjustment relationship for recruitment deviations (which may or may not be an improvement. For more information, see

Methot, R.D. and Taylor, I.G., 2011. Adjusting for bias due to variability of estimated recruitments in fishery assessment models. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci., 68:1744-1760.

Estimated alternative inputs to SS control file associated with blue line in figure: 
1966.3   #_last_early_yr_nobias_adj_in_MPD 
1985.0   #_first_yr_fullbias_adj_in_MPD 
2018.9   #_last_yr_fullbias_adj_in_MPD 
2019.1   #_first_recent_yr_nobias_adj_in_MPD 
0.8712  #_max_bias_adj_in_MPD (1.0 to mimic pre-2009 models)

file: recruit_fit_bias_adjust.png